Sunday, April 8, 2018

Leveraged ETFs (Core) 6 Apr 18

A long-term investment that forms the foundation of an investor’s portfolio.  A core portfolio strategy is to primarily own an investment that tracks the overall market.  A solid core holding gives an investor the flexibility to take a chance with riskier investments in other areas of the portfolio.

Calendar
Year
S&P 500
(UPRO)
Nasdaq 100
(TQQQ)
Russell 2000
(URTY)
Dow 30
(UDOW)
2018
-11.0%
-3.8%
-6.8%
-12.9%
2017
71.4%
118.1%
38.9%
99.1%
2016
30.8%
11.4%
60.1%
47.5%
2015
-5.2%
17.2%
-21.0%
-8.6%
2014
38.0%
57.1%
5.9%
26.0%
2013
118.5%
139.7%
147.9%
107.1%
2012
46.8%
52.3%
44.6%
26.4%
2011
-11.9%
-8.0%
-37.6%
9.0%
2010
36.3%
78.1%
90.1%
51.3%
Avg Ret.
34.9%
51.3%
35.8%
38.3%

A properly constructed core portfolio of leveraged ETFs will tend to outperform the benchmark.  A core portfolio strategy also results in a portfolio that is easy to monitor and rebalance because it only contains a few investments.

Leveraged ETFs (Bullish) 6 Apr 18

Leveraged ETFs use a combination of stocks, options and futures to double or triple the movement of an underlying asset or index that it tracks.  Leveraged ETFs have grown in popularity with the trading crowd because the funds can generate returns very quickly (provided of course, that the trader is on the right side of the trade).

Symbol
Price
RSI-2
6-Month
1-Year
UWT
$26.26
5.09
75.89%
31.37%
EDC
$117.81
13.21
6.60%
58.91%
BRZU
$46.41
20.22
-9.60%
13.28%
TECL
$107.02
21.37
18.64%
61.81%
TQQQ
$133.42
23.22
15.43%
52.64%
FAS
$61.26
23.99
7.48%
41.99%
ARKW
$48.66
24.94
20.96%
70.95%
UDOW
$81.95
27.37
13.72%
51.23%
TNA
$65.18
29.95
-2.76%
32.66%
URTY
$76.76
30.09
-2.45%
33.13%

Leveraged ETFs are not for the faint of heart.  Traders who can stomach the volatility can realize large gains (or losses) on their positions very quickly.  These funds should only be tackled by an experienced trader with a stomach to handle losses.

Stock Options (SSO:SDS) 6 Apr 18

For short-term trading, there are few vehicles available to active traders currently that can offer as much potential for substantial gains as Leveraged ETFs can.  The propensity of Leveraged ETFs to revert back to their mean within a week makes them all the more attractive to traders using a high-probability strategy on a daily basis. 

Symbol
Price
RSI-2
1-Day Rtn
5-Day Rtn
SSO
$102.33
25.77
-4.42%
-2.99%
SDS
$42.00
72.98
4.40%
2.54%

In looking at ProShares Ultra S&P 500 (SSO) and ProShares UltraShort S&P 500 (SDS) we can see their close inverse correlation, and how you could take a long position in one and a short in another depending on market conditions to protect against unnecessary losses. 

Sunday, April 1, 2018

Leveraged ETFs (Core) 30 Mar 18

A long-term investment that forms the foundation of an investor’s portfolio.  A core portfolio strategy is to primarily own an investment that tracks the overall market.  A solid core holding gives an investor the flexibility to take a chance with riskier investments in other areas of the portfolio.

Calendar
Year
S&P 500
(UPRO)
Nasdaq 100
(TQQQ)
Russell 2000
(URTY)
Dow 30
(UDOW)
2018
-6.7%
3.7%
-3.8%
-9.9%
2017
71.4%
118.1%
38.9%
99.1%
2016
30.8%
11.4%
60.1%
47.5%
2015
-5.2%
17.2%
-21.0%
-8.6%
2014
38.0%
57.1%
5.9%
26.0%
2013
118.5%
139.7%
147.9%
107.1%
2012
46.8%
52.3%
44.6%
26.4%
2011
-11.9%
-8.0%
-37.6%
9.0%
2010
36.3%
78.1%
90.1%
51.3%
Avg Ret.
35.3%
52.2%
36.1%
38.7%

A properly constructed core portfolio of leveraged ETFs will tend to outperform the benchmark.  A core portfolio strategy also results in a portfolio that is easy to monitor and rebalance because it only contains a few investments.