Sunday, January 22, 2017

Core Portfolio (20 Jan 17)

A long-term investment that forms the foundation of an investor’s portfolio.  A core portfolio strategy is to primarily own an investment that tracks the overall market.  A solid core holding gives an investor the flexibility to take a chance with riskier investments in other areas of the portfolio.

Calendar
Year
Dow 30
(UDOW)
Nasdaq 100
(TQQQ)
S&P 500
(UPRO)
Russell 2000
(URTY)
2017
0.7%
12.1%
4.0%
-1.8%
2016
47.5%
11.4%
30.8%
60.1%
2015
-8.6%
17.2%
-5.2%
-21.0%
2014
26.0%
57.1%
38.0%
5.9%
2013
107.1%
139.7%
118.5%
147.9%
2012
26.4%
52.3%
46.8%
44.6%
2011
9.1%
-8.0%
-11.9%
-37.6%
2010
51.4%
78.1%
36.3%
90.1%
Avg Ret.
32.5%
45.0%
32.2%
36.0%

A properly constructed core portfolio of leveraged ETFs will tend to outperform the benchmarks.  A core portfolio strategy also results in a portfolio that is easy to monitor and rebalance because it only contains a few investments.

Short-Term Trend (20 Jan 17)

When the stock trades above the 20-SMA, it is considered to be in a short-term uptrend.  When it trades below the 20-SMA, the short-term trend is considered down.

Benchmark
Symbol
Price
20-SMA
Market Trend
S&P 500
SPY
226.74
226.01
Uptrend
Dow 30
DIA
197.96
198.37
Downtrend
Russell 2000
IWM
134.44
135.57
Downtrend
Nasdaq 100
QQQ
123.25
121.40
Uptrend

If the short-term trend is up, use bullish leveraged ETFs.  If the short-term trend is down, use inverse leveraged ETFs.

Leveraged ETFs (20 Jan 17): SOXL $61.31

Buy (40) shares SOXL @ $61.31
Target Price (10%): $67.50

Leveraged ETFs (20 Jan 17): RUSL $98.75

Buy (25) shares RUSL @ $98.75
Target Price (10%): $108.70

Leveraged ETFs (20 Jan 17): GUSH $98.43

Buy (25) shares GUSH @ $98.43
Target Price (10%): $108.30

Leveraged ETFs (20 Jan 17): FAS $41.10

Buy (60) shares FAS @ $41.10
Target Price (10%): $45.30

Leveraged ETFs (20 Jan 17): URTY $116.50

Buy (21) shares URTY @ $116.50
Target Price (10%): $128.20

Leveraged ETFs (20 Jan 17): TNA $99.52

Buy (25) shares TNA @ $99.52
Target Price (10%): $109.50

Saturday, January 14, 2017

Core Portfolio (13 Jan 17)

A long-term investment that forms the foundation of an investor’s portfolio.  A core portfolio strategy is to primarily own an investment that tracks the overall market.  A solid core holding gives an investor the flexibility to take a chance with riskier investments in other areas of the portfolio.

Calendar
Year
Dow 30
(UDOW)
Nasdaq 100
(TQQQ)
S&P 500
(UPRO)
Russell 2000
(URTY)
2017
1.5%
12.0%
4.5%
2.7%
2016
47.5%
11.4%
30.8%
60.1%
2015
-8.6%
17.2%
-5.2%
-21.0%
2014
26.0%
57.1%
38.0%
5.9%
2013
107.1%
139.7%
118.5%
147.9%
2012
26.4%
52.3%
46.8%
44.6%
2011
9.1%
-8.0%
-11.9%
-37.6%
2010
51.4%
78.1%
36.3%
90.1%
Avg Ret.
32.6%
45.0%
32.2%
36.6%

A properly constructed core portfolio of leveraged ETFs will tend to outperform the benchmarks.  A core portfolio strategy also results in a portfolio that is easy to monitor and rebalance because it only contains a few investments.

Short-Term Trend (13 Jan 17)

When the stock trades above the 20-SMA, it is considered to be in a short-term uptrend.  When it trades below the 20-SMA, the short-term trend is considered down.

Benchmark
Symbol
Price
20-SMA
Market Trend
S&P 500
SPY
227.05
225.85
Uptrend
Dow 30
DIA
198.70
198.71
Uptrend
Russell 2000
IWM
136.26
135.93
Downtrend
Nasdaq 100
QQQ
123.16
120.81
Uptrend

If the short-term trend is up, use bullish leveraged ETFs.  If the short-term trend is down, use inverse leveraged ETFs.

Leveraged ETFs (13 Jan 17): SOXL $60.34

Buy (41) shares SOXL @ $60.34
Target Price (10%): $66.40

Leveraged ETFs (13 Jan 17): RUSL $104.48

Buy (24) shares RUSL @ $104.48
Target Price (10%): $115.00

Leveraged ETFs (13 Jan 17): FAS $42.44

Buy (59) shares FAS @ $42.44
Target Price (10%): $46.70

Leveraged ETFs (13 Jan 17): URTY $121.85

Buy (20) shares URTY @ $121.85
Target Price (10%): $134.10

Leveraged ETFs (13 Jan 17): TNA $103.90

Buy (24) shares TNA @ $103.90
Target Price (10%): $114.30