Sunday, October 30, 2016

Total Return YTD % (28 Oct 16)

The Total Return Historical Data shows how each index has performed on a yearly basis.  Over the long-term, the stock market has proven to be a very good investment, however from year to year the returns can be very volatile.

Calendar
Year
S&P 500
(UPRO)
Russell 2000
(URTY)
Nasdaq 100
(TQQQ)
Wilsh 5000
(VTI)
2016
11.2%
7.7%
8.0%
5.8%
2015
-5.2%
-21.0%
17.2%
0.4%
2014
38.0%
5.9%
57.1%
12.5%
2013
118.5%
147.9%
139.7%
33.5%
2012
46.8%
44.6%
52.3%
16.5%
Avg Ret.
41.9%
37.0%
54.9%
13.7%

Monitor Market Progress:   You must monitor general market progress to make sure you are on track to reach your goal.  If you have adopted the 12% growth goal, you can break it down into a monthly goal.  As long as the general market is on track to reach your goal, 1% a month, there should be dozens of Leveraged ETFs that are also on track.

Short-Term Trend (28 Oct 16)

When the stock trades above the 20-SMA, it is considered to be in a short-term uptrend.  When it trades below the 20-SMA, the short-term trend is considered down.

Benchmark
Symbol
Price
20-SMA
Market Trend
S&P 500
SPY
212.54
214.15
Downtrend
Russell 2000
IWM
118.03
121.55
Downtrend
Nasdaq 100
QQQ
117.10
118.08
Downtrend
Wilshire 5000
VTI
108.82
109.98
Downtrend

If the short-term trend is up, use bullish leveraged ETFs.  If the short-term trend is down, use inverse leveraged ETFs.

Leveraged ETFs (28 Oct 16): ERX $31.37

Buy (79) shares ERX @ $31.37
Target Price (10%): $34.50

Leveraged ETFs (28 Oct 16): YINN $17.27

Buy (144) shares YINN @ $17.27
Target Price (10%): $19.00

Leveraged ETFs (28 Oct 16): TNA $68.20

Buy (36) shares TNA @ $68.20
Target Price (10%): $75.02

Leveraged ETFs (28 Oct 16): URTY $79.81

 
Buy (31) shares URTY @ $79.81
Target Price (10%): $87.80

Long Call (28 Oct 16) XLU $48.46

Buy (1) Jan 18 45 C @ $5.20
Target Price (30%): $6.80

Long Put (28 Oct 16): GDX $23.81

Buy (1) Jan 18 25 P @ $5.05
Target Price (30%): $6.60

Saturday, October 22, 2016

Total Return YTD % (21 Oct 16)

The Total Return Historical Data shows how each index has performed on a yearly basis.  Over the long-term, the stock market has proven to be a very good investment, however from year to year the returns can be very volatile.

Calendar
Year
S&P 500
(UPRO)
Russell 2000
(URTY)
Nasdaq 100
(TQQQ)
Wilsh 5000
(VTI)
2016
13.5%
16.3%
10.7%
6.8%
2015
-5.2%
-21.0%
17.2%
0.4%
2014
38.0%
5.9%
57.1%
12.5%
2013
118.5%
147.9%
139.7%
33.5%
2012
46.8%
44.6%
52.3%
16.5%
Avg Ret.
42.3%
38.7%
55.4%
13.9%

Monitor Market Progress:   You must monitor general market progress to make sure you are on track to reach your goal.  If you have adopted the 12% growth goal, you can break it down into a monthly goal.  As long as the general market is on track to reach your goal, 1% a month, there should be dozens of Leveraged ETFs that are also on track.

Short-Term Trend (21 Oct 16)

When the stock trades above the 20-SMA, it is considered to be in a short-term uptrend.  When it trades below the 20-SMA, the short-term trend is considered down.

Benchmark
Symbol
Price
20-SMA
Market Trend
S&P 500
SPY
213.98
214.60
Downtrend
Russell 2000
IWM
121.07
122.55
Downtrend
Nasdaq 100
QQQ
118.15
118.04
Uptrend
Wilshire 5000
VTI
109.80
110.31
Downtrend
 
If the short-term trend is up, use bullish leveraged ETFs.  If the short-term trend is down, use inverse leveraged ETFs.

Leveraged ETFs (21 Oct 16): GUSH $85.26

Buy (29) shares GUSH @ $85.26
Target Price (10%): $93.80

Leveraged ETFs (21 Oct 16): UWTI $27.70

Buy (90) shares UWTI @ $27.70
Target Price (10%): $30.50

Leveraged ETFs (21 Oct 16): BRZU $47.63

Buy (52) shares BRZU @ $47.63
Target Price (10%): $52.40

Leveraged ETFs (21 Oct 16): ERX $32.58

Buy (76) shares ERX @ $32.58
Target Price (10%): $35.90

Long Call (21 Oct 16): GDXJ $41.82

Buy (1) Jan 18 55 C @ $5.00
Target Price (30%): $6.50

Long Put (21 Oct 16): VXX $31.57

Buy (1) Jan 18 23 P @ $5.30
Target Price (30%): $6.90

Saturday, October 15, 2016

Total Return YTD % (14 Oct 16)

The Total Return Historical Data shows how each index has performed on a yearly basis.  Over the long-term, the stock market has proven to be a very good investment, however from year to year the returns can be very volatile.

Calendar
Year
S&P 500
(UPRO)
Russell 2000
(URTY)
Nasdaq 100
(TQQQ)
Wilsh 5000
(VTI)
2016
12.3%
14.6%
8.0%
6.3%
2015
-5.2%
-21.0%
17.2%
0.4%
2014
38.0%
5.9%
57.1%
12.5%
2013
118.5%
147.9%
139.7%
33.5%
2012
46.8%
44.6%
52.3%
16.5%
Avg Ret.
42.1%
38.4%
54.9%
13.8%

Monitor Market Progress:   You must monitor general market progress to make sure you are on track to reach your goal.  If you have adopted the 12% growth goal, you can break it down into a monthly goal.  As long as the general market is on track to reach your goal, 1% a month, there should be dozens of Leveraged ETFs that are also on track.