Sunday, September 25, 2016

Total Return YTD % (23 Sep 16)

The Total Return Historical Data shows how each index has performed on a yearly basis.  Over the long-term, the stock market has proven to be a very good investment, however from year to year the returns can be very volatile. 

Calendar
Year
S&P 500
(SPY)
Russell 2000
(IWM)
Nasdaq 100
(QQQ)
Wilsh 5000
(VTI)
2016
7.6%
11.8%
6.6%
8.1%
2015
1.3%
-4.5%
9.4%
0.4%
2014
13.5%
5.0%
19.2%
12.5%
2013
32.3%
38.7%
36.6%
33.5%
2012
16.0%
16.7%
18.1%
16.5%
Avg Ret.
14.1%
13.5%
18.0%
14.2%

 Monitor Market Progress:   You must monitor general market progress to make sure you are on track to reach your goal.  If you have adopted the 12% growth goal, you can break it down into a monthly goal.  As long as the general market is on track to reach your goal, 1% a month, there should be dozens of Leveraged ETFs that are also on track.

Short-Term Trend (23 Sep 16)

When the stock trades above the 20-SMA, it is considered to be in a short-term uptrend.  When it trades below the 20-SMA, the short-term trend is considered down.  

Benchmark
Symbol
Price
20-SMA
Market Trend
S&P 500
SPY
215.99
215.43
Uptrend
Russell 2000
IWM
124.81
123.27
Uptrend
Nasdaq 100
QQQ
118.33
116.78
Uptrend
Wilshire 5000
VTI
111.15
110.75
Uptrend

If the short-term trend is up, use bullish leveraged ETFs.  If the short-term trend is down, use inverse leveraged ETFs.

Leveraged ETFs (23 Sep 16): JNUG $18.89

Buy (132) shares JNUG @ $18.89
Target Price (10%): $20.80

Leveraged ETFs (23 Sep 16): LABU $53.45

Buy (47) shares LABU @ $53.45
Target Price (10%): $58.80

Leveraged ETFs (23 Sep 16): USLV $23.83

Buy (105) shares USLV @ $23.83
Target Price (10%): $26.30

Leveraged ETFs (23 Sep 16): NUGT $20.26

Buy (123) shares NUGT @ $20.26
Target Price (10%): $22.30

Long Call (23 Sep 16): GDX $27.02

Buy (1) Jan 18 28 C @ $4.90
Target Price (30%): $6.40

Long Put (23 Sep 16): VXX $33.80

Buy (1) Jan 18 23 P @ $5.15
Target Price (30%): $6.70

Monday, September 12, 2016

Total Return YTD % (9 Sep 16)

The Total Return Historical Data shows how each index has performed on a yearly basis.  Over the long-term, the stock market has proven to be a very good investment, however from year to year the returns can be very volatile. 

Calendar
Year
S&P 500
(SPY)
Russell 2000
(IWM)
Nasdaq 100
(QQQ)
Wilsh 5000
(VTI)
2016
5.7%
8.6%
2.7%
6.1%
2015
1.3%
-4.5%
9.4%
0.4%
2014
13.5%
5.0%
19.2%
12.5%
2013
32.3%
38.7%
36.6%
33.5%
2012
16.0%
16.7%
18.1%
16.5%
Avg Ret.
13.8%
12.9%
17.2%
13.8%

Monitor Market Progress:   You must monitor general market progress to make sure you are on track to reach your goal.  If you have adopted the 12% growth goal, you can break it down into a monthly goal.  As long as the general market is on track to reach your goal, 1% a month, there should be dozens of Leveraged ETFs that are also on track.

Sunday, September 11, 2016

Short-Term Trend (9 Sep 16)

When the stock trades above the 20-SMA, it is considered to be in a short-term uptrend.  When it trades below the 20-SMA, the short-term trend is considered down.  

Benchmark
Symbol
Price
20-SMA
Market Trend
S&P 500
SPY
213.28
218.05
Downtrend
Russell 2000
IWM
121.25
123.39
Downtrend
Nasdaq 100
QQQ
114.28
117.00
Downtrend
Wilshire 5000
VTI
109.66
111.99
Downtrend

If the short-term trend is up, use bullish leveraged ETFs.  If the short-term trend is down, use inverse leveraged ETFs.

Leveraged ETFs (9 Sep 16): JNUG $18.43

Buy (135) shares JNUG @ $18.43
Target Price (10%): $20.30

Leveraged ETFs (9 Sep 16): GUSH $87.38

Buy (29) shares GUSH @ $87.38
Target Price (10%): $96.20

Leveraged ETFs (9 Sep 16): USLV $21.83

Buy (115) shares USLV @ $21.83
Target Price (10%): $24.10

Leveraged ETFs (9 Sep 16): BRZU $33.00

Buy (76) shares BRZU @ $33.00
Target Price (10%): $36.30

Long Call (9 Sep 16): XOP $37.81

Buy (1) Jan 17 41 C @ $5.05
Target Price (30%): $6.60

Long Put (9 Sep 16): XLP $52,69

Buy (1) Jan 17 56 P @ $4.60
Target Price (30%): $6.00

Saturday, September 3, 2016

Total Return YTD % (2 Sep 16)

The Total Return Historical Data shows how each index has performed on a yearly basis.  Over the long-term, the stock market has proven to be a very good investment, however from year to year the returns can be very volatile. 

Calendar
Year
S&P 500
(SPY)
Russell 2000
(IWM)
Nasdaq 100
(QQQ)
Wilsh 5000
(VTI)
2016
8.2%
11.5%
5.3%
8.6%
2015
1.3%
-4.5%
9.4%
0.4%
2014
13.5%
5.0%
19.2%
12.5%
2013
32.3%
38.7%
36.6%
33.5%
2012
16.0%
16.7%
18.1%
16.5%
Avg Ret.
14.3%
13.5%
17.7%
14.3%

Monitor Market Progress:   You must monitor general market progress to make sure you are on track to reach your goal.  If you have adopted the 12% growth goal, you can break it down into a monthly goal.  As long as the general market is on track to reach your goal, 1% a month, there should be dozens of Leveraged ETFs that are also on track.